Pro tip: check your city bus tracker's ghost bus stats before you leave the house
I ride the 44 bus in Seattle every morning and got tired of watching two buses show up back to back then nothing for 30 minutes, so I pulled up the transit agency's own data dashboard. Turns out they publish how many scheduled trips each route actually completes, and the 44 sits at 87 percent while the 7 downtown runs at 96 percent. That 9 point gap sounds small but it means roughly 1 in 8 of my buses never shows, which explains a lot of my angry mornings. Now I check the live map before I walk out and if two 44s are bunched together I just wait and catch the next one. Has anyone else dug into their own route's numbers like this?
The part nobody talks about is that those numbers are averaged over the whole day, so they hide when the misses actually happen. A route can look fine at 87 percent overall but be total garbage during rush hour because the gaps get made up on slow midday runs when nobody cares. I pulled the hourly breakdown for my line and the 7 to 8am slot was closer to 70 percent, which is way worse than the headline number suggests. So checking the route stat is a good start but you really want the time-of-day cut, otherwise you're trusting a number that's lying to you about your specific commute.